Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.095900 0.107259 0.119047 0.132162 0.146316 0.161102 0.177683
2024-10-20 0.076108 0.092557 0.110649 0.131889 0.156004 0.182394 0.213319
2024-10-27 0.062508 0.082055 0.104704 0.132554 0.165536 0.203013 0.248467
2024-11-03 0.057000 0.079735 0.107221 0.142280 0.185169 0.235298 0.297655
2024-11-10 0.048494 0.072394 0.102551 0.142421 0.192735 0.253116 0.329991
2024-11-17 0.042572 0.067462 0.100103 0.144639 0.202363 0.273199 0.365146
2024-11-24 0.037044 0.062278 0.096639 0.144952 0.209151 0.289565 0.395786
2024-12-01 0.035080 0.061798 0.099262 0.153159 0.226131 0.318929 0.443090
2024-12-08 0.033370 0.061428 0.101855 0.161245 0.243021 0.348428 0.491062
2024-12-15 0.029804 0.057788 0.099410 0.162038 0.249931 0.364943 0.522532
2024-12-22 0.025628 0.052677 0.094345 0.158696 0.250859 0.373391 0.543493
2024-12-29 0.024235 0.051955 0.095738 0.164593 0.264600 0.399011 0.587259
2025-01-05 0.022178 0.050049 0.095412 0.168307 0.275931 0.422409 0.629654
2025-01-12 0.020081 0.047850 0.094492 0.171116 0.286141 0.444679 0.671268
2025-01-19 0.018074 0.045558 0.093222 0.173274 0.295431 0.465882 0.711899
2025-01-26 0.018095 0.047139 0.098448 0.185716 0.320119 0.508957 0.783002
2025-02-02 0.016080 0.044431 0.096180 0.186147 0.326932 0.527081 0.820248
2025-02-09 0.014656 0.042723 0.095471 0.188961 0.337295 0.550325 0.864844
2025-02-16 0.013048 0.040375 0.093411 0.189390 0.343938 0.568291 0.902303
2025-02-23 0.012858 0.041153 0.097060 0.199398 0.365519 0.608075 0.970814
2025-03-02 0.012647 0.041847 0.100557 0.209223 0.386982 0.647977 1.039961
2025-03-09 0.011410 0.039926 0.098946 0.210188 0.394463 0.667463 1.080312
2025-03-16 0.009764 0.036715 0.094581 0.206136 0.393803 0.674886 1.103514